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Serie B · Brazil
Athletic Club vs Londrina prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Athletic Club host Londrina in the Serie B (Brazil) on 13 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Athletic Club 2–2 Londrina.
Going into the match, Athletic Club had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Londrina had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Athletic Club's last 10 and 5 of Londrina's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athletic Club averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Londrina averaged 0.93 scored and 1.73 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Athletic Club and 1.10 from Londrina. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 44%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Athletic Club (green) and Londrina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | LLDDW | 1.40 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Londrina | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Athletic Club Win | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.