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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Athletic Club II vs Real Unión prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Athletic Club II host Real Unión in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Athletic Club II 0–0 Real Unión.
Going into the match, Athletic Club II had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Real Unión had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Athletic Club II's last 10 and 8 of Real Unión's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athletic Club II averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Unión averaged 1.83 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Athletic Club II and 1.26 from Real Unión. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Athletic Club II (green) and Real Unión (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club II | LWDWW | 1.90 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Real Unión | DLDLW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.