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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Athletic Club II host Extremadura 1924 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Athletic Club II 1–3 Extremadura 1924.
Going into the match, Athletic Club II had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Extremadura 1924 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Athletic Club II's last 10 and 5 of Extremadura 1924's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athletic Club II averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Extremadura 1924 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Athletic Club II and 1.19 from Extremadura 1924. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 29%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Athletic Club II (green) and Extremadura 1924 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club II | WDWWD | 1.90 | 0.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Extremadura 1924 | LLLWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Athletic Club II Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.