Home › League stats › Segunda División › Atenas vs Miramar
Segunda División · Uruguay
Atenas vs Miramar prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atenas host Miramar in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atenas 1–1 Miramar.
Going into the match, Atenas had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Miramar had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Atenas's last 10 and 7 of Miramar's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atenas averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Miramar averaged 1.56 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Atenas and 1.08 from Miramar. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atenas (green) and Miramar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jul 2026 · Miramar 1–1 Atenas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Atenas Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Atenas HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.