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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atenas host Fundacion Amigos in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atenas 3–1 Fundacion Amigos.
Going into the match, Atenas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Fundacion Amigos had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atenas's last 10 and 1 of Fundacion Amigos's last 10; 5 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atenas averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fundacion Amigos averaged 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Atenas and 0.72 from Fundacion Amigos. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 24%, against 48%, 31% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atenas (green) and Fundacion Amigos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | LDLLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Fundacion Amigos | WDWDW | 0.90 | 0.40 | 10% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Fundacion Amigos 2–0 Atenas
- 5 Jul 2026 · Atenas 1–3 Fundacion Amigos
- 3 May 2026 · Fundacion Amigos 4–0 Atenas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Atenas Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.