Home › League stats › League Cup › Asyut Petrol vs Al Ahly
League Cup · Egypt
Asyut Petrol vs Al Ahly prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asyut Petrol host Al Ahly in the League Cup (Egypt) on 7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asyut Petrol 0–5 Al Ahly.
Going into the match, Asyut Petrol had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Al Ahly had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Asyut Petrol's last 10 and 3 of Al Ahly's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asyut Petrol averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al Ahly averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.49 goals from Asyut Petrol and 2.67 from Al Ahly. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 83%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut Petrol | LLLDD | 0.50 | 1.00 | 30% | 10% |
| Al Ahly | WDWWW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Al Ahly Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.