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Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Sweden
Astrio vs Västra Frölunda prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Astrio host Västra Frölunda in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Astrio 1–1 Västra Frölunda.
Going into the match, Astrio had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 30. Västra Frölunda had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Astrio's last 10 and 5 of Västra Frölunda's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Astrio averaged 0.45 goals scored and 2.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Västra Frölunda averaged 1.40 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Astrio and 2.52 from Västra Frölunda. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 66%, against 17%, 20% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Astrio (green) and Västra Frölunda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrio | WLLLL | 1.20 | 3.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Västra Frölunda | WLLWL | 1.20 | 2.30 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Västra Frölunda 5–3 Astrio
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Västra Frölunda Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.