Home › League stats › WSL Cup › Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W
WSL Cup · England
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W prediction and preview
28 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aston Villa W host Birmingham City W in the WSL Cup (England) on 28 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Aston Villa W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Birmingham City W had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Aston Villa W's last 10 and 6 of Birmingham City W's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aston Villa W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Birmingham City W averaged 0.83 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.47 goals from Aston Villa W and 1.32 from Birmingham City W. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 49%, 21% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aston Villa W (green) and Birmingham City W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa W | WWDWL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
| Birmingham City W | WDLLD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Aston Villa W Win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Aston Villa W HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other WSL Cup matches that day
- Charlton Athletic W vs West Ham W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Wolverhampton W vs Brighton W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Bristol City W vs Tottenham Hotspur W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - London City Lionesses W vs Crystal Palace W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Manchester United W vs Burnley W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.57 - Sheffield United W vs Everton W · 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · WSL Cup
Published pick: Everton W Win @ 1.22