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Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asteras Tripolis host Atromitos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos.
Going into the match, Asteras Tripolis had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Atromitos had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Asteras Tripolis's last 10 and 5 of Atromitos's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asteras Tripolis averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atromitos averaged 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Asteras Tripolis and 1.15 from Atromitos. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 39%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Asteras Tripolis (green) and Atromitos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | DWDDL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
| Atromitos | LLDDW | 1.50 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Asteras Tripolis 4–2 Atromitos
- 26 Apr 2026 · Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.