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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Assyriska FF host FBK Karlstad in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Assyriska FF 1–0 FBK Karlstad.
Going into the match, Assyriska FF had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. FBK Karlstad had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Assyriska FF's last 10 and 5 of FBK Karlstad's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Assyriska FF averaged 2.08 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FBK Karlstad averaged 2.00 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Assyriska FF and 1.80 from FBK Karlstad. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 44%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Assyriska FF (green) and FBK Karlstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assyriska FF | LLWLL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 60% | 80% |
| FBK Karlstad | DWDDW | 1.80 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · FBK Karlstad 0–2 Assyriska FF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.