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Ligue 1 · Algeria

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger prediction and preview

13 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ASO Chlef host MC Alger in the Ligue 1 (Algeria) on 13 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ASO Chlef 1–1 MC Alger.

Going into the match, ASO Chlef had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 9 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 15. MC Alger had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of ASO Chlef's last 9 and 3 of MC Alger's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ASO Chlef averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home MC Alger averaged 1.00 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from ASO Chlef and 1.22 from MC Alger. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 46%, against 21%, 30% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ASO Chlef (green) and MC Alger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head25% – 75%
Goals27% – 73%
Overall strength29% – 71%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ASO ChlefLLLDL0.671.6733%44%
MC AlgerWWWDL1.500.6030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1270%1.30
Under 2.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS No60%1.50
Over 1.5 Goals60%1.57
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals58%1.62
Under 8.5 Corners55%1.69
MC Alger Win47%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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