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3. Division - Girone 1 · Norway
Asker vs Bærum prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asker host Bærum in the 3. Division - Girone 1 (Norway) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Asker Win — Asker to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asker 4–2 Bærum.
Going into the match, Asker had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 40 and conceding 19. Bærum had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Asker's last 10 and 7 of Bærum's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asker averaged 3.73 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bærum averaged 2.30 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.65 goals from Asker and 1.70 from Bærum. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 14%, against 63%, 18% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Asker (green) and Bærum (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Bærum 2–4 Asker
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Asker Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Asker HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.