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Premier League · Kyrgyzstan
Asia Talas vs Toktogul prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asia Talas host Toktogul in the Premier League (Kyrgyzstan) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asia Talas 2–0 Toktogul.
Going into the match, Asia Talas had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Toktogul had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Asia Talas's last 10 and 7 of Toktogul's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asia Talas averaged 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Toktogul averaged 0.78 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Asia Talas and 1.06 from Toktogul. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Asia Talas (green) and Toktogul (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia Talas | WWLWD | 2.20 | 1.20 | 80% | 60% |
| Toktogul | DDWWW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Toktogul 1–2 Asia Talas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.76 |
| Asia Talas Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.78 |
| Asia Talas HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.