Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Northern › Ashton United vs Alfreton Town
Non League Premier - Northern · England
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ashton United host Alfreton Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ashton United 0–0 Alfreton Town.
Going into the match, Ashton United had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Alfreton Town had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ashton United's last 10 and 5 of Alfreton Town's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ashton United averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Alfreton Town averaged 1.29 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Ashton United and 0.93 from Alfreton Town. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 35%, 26% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ashton United (green) and Alfreton Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | DDDLL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Alfreton Town | LWLWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Alfreton Town Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.