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Liga Leumit · Israel
Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ashdod host Maccabi Herzliya in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ashdod Win — Ashdod to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ashdod 1–0 Maccabi Herzliya.
Going into the match, Ashdod had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Maccabi Herzliya had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ashdod's last 10 and 7 of Maccabi Herzliya's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ashdod averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Maccabi Herzliya averaged 1.43 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Ashdod and 0.88 from Maccabi Herzliya. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 21%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ashdod (green) and Maccabi Herzliya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | WWWWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 70% |
| Maccabi Herzliya | LDWDL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Ashdod Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.