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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aserri FC host Quepos Cambute in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aserri FC 1–0 Quepos Cambute.
Going into the match, Aserri FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Quepos Cambute had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aserri FC's last 10 and 3 of Quepos Cambute's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aserri FC averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Quepos Cambute averaged 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Aserri FC and 0.94 from Quepos Cambute. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 29%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aserri FC (green) and Quepos Cambute (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FC | LWDWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
| Quepos Cambute | WWLWD | 1.50 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Quepos Cambute 2–1 Aserri FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Quepos Cambute Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.