Home › League stats › Liga de Ascenso › Aserri FC vs Guadalupe FC
Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Aserri FC vs Guadalupe FC prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aserri FC host Guadalupe FC in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Aserri FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aserri FC 2–3 Guadalupe FC.
Going into the match, Aserri FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Guadalupe FC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aserri FC's last 10 and 5 of Guadalupe FC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aserri FC averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Guadalupe FC averaged 1.33 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Aserri FC and 1.03 from Guadalupe FC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aserri FC (green) and Guadalupe FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FC | LWDWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
| Guadalupe FC | DLLLD | 1.00 | 2.20 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Guadalupe FC 0–2 Aserri FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Aserri FC Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Aserri FC HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.