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Premier League · Ghana
Asante Kotoko vs Karela prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asante Kotoko host Karela in the Premier League (Ghana) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Asante Kotoko to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.11, which the bookmaker market rated at about 83% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asante Kotoko 1–0 Karela.
Going into the match, Asante Kotoko had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Karela had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Asante Kotoko's last 9 and 5 of Karela's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asante Kotoko averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Karela averaged 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Asante Kotoko and 0.87 from Karela. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Asante Kotoko (green) and Karela (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asante Kotoko | LDWDL | 1.00 | 1.89 | 56% | 56% |
| Karela | WLWLL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.