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Liga II · Romania

ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.56Market probability 58%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ASA Targu Mures host Chindia Targoviste in the Liga II (Romania) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ASA Targu Mures 2–4 Chindia Targoviste.

Going into the match, ASA Targu Mures had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Chindia Targoviste had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of ASA Targu Mures's last 10 and 5 of Chindia Targoviste's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ASA Targu Mures averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Chindia Targoviste averaged 1.42 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from ASA Targu Mures and 1.79 from Chindia Targoviste. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 30%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ASA Targu Mures (green) and Chindia Targoviste (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form37% – 63%
Attack41% – 59%
Defence35% – 65%
Head-to-head13% – 88%
Goals0% – 100%
Overall strength31% – 68%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ASA Targu MuresLWDWL1.401.6050%50%
Chindia TargovisteWWWWL1.901.0050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No76%1.21
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.48
BTTS Yes58%1.56
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.75
Under 2.5 Goals46%2.05
Chindia Targoviste Win41%2.10
Draw28%3.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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