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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arzignano Valchiampo host Pergolettese in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arzignano Valchiampo 2–2 Pergolettese.
Going into the match, Arzignano Valchiampo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Pergolettese had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Arzignano Valchiampo's last 10 and 1 of Pergolettese's last 10; 8 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arzignano Valchiampo averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pergolettese averaged 0.33 scored and 0.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.82 from Pergolettese. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arzignano Valchiampo (green) and Pergolettese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arzignano Valchiampo | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
| Pergolettese | DDDWD | 0.50 | 0.40 | 10% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.