Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Meadow Park, Borehamwood

The PunterPick prediction

Aston Villa W Under 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Arsenal W host Aston Villa W in the FA WSL (England) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Aston Villa W Under 1.5 Goals — Aston Villa W Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Arsenal W had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Aston Villa W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Arsenal W's last 10 and 8 of Aston Villa W's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Aston Villa W averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Arsenal W and 0.81 from Aston Villa W. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 82%, 10% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Arsenal W	WWDLD	1.30	1.00	50%	40%
Aston Villa W	WWDWL	1.50	1.70	80%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 May 2026 · Aston Villa W 0–3 Arsenal W

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Arsenal W HT & FT	67%	1.44
Arsenal W 1st Half Win	65%	1.40
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	54%	1.80
Over 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Arsenal W Win & BTTS	39%	2.25
3-0	11%	8.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.