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Premier League · Belarus
Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arsenal host Dinamo Brest in the Premier League (Belarus) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dinamo Brest Win — Dinamo Brest to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arsenal 0–1 Dinamo Brest.
Going into the match, Arsenal had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Dinamo Brest had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Arsenal's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Brest's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Brest averaged 1.77 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Arsenal and 2.00 from Dinamo Brest. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 60%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arsenal (green) and Dinamo Brest (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | LDDLL | 0.80 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Dinamo Brest | WWWWL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Dinamo Brest 3–0 Arsenal
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Dinamo Brest Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.87 |
| Dinamo Brest HT & FT | 44% | 2.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.