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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arsenal Sarandi host San Martín Burzaco in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Arsenal Sarandi Win — Arsenal Sarandi to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arsenal Sarandi 3–1 San Martín Burzaco.
Going into the match, Arsenal Sarandi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. San Martín Burzaco had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Arsenal Sarandi's last 10 and 5 of San Martín Burzaco's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal Sarandi averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home San Martín Burzaco averaged 0.81 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Arsenal Sarandi and 0.67 from San Martín Burzaco. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 24% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Sarandi | LWLWW | 1.20 | 0.50 | 20% | 20% |
| San Martín Burzaco | WLWWD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Jun 2026 · San Martín Burzaco 2–0 Arsenal Sarandi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Arsenal Sarandi Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.