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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Arnedo vs Ebro prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arnedo host Ebro in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ebro Win — Ebro to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arnedo 1–2 Ebro.
Going into the match, Arnedo had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Ebro had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Arnedo's last 10 and 2 of Ebro's last 9; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arnedo averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ebro averaged 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Arnedo and 1.10 from Ebro. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 36%, against 15%, 24% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arnedo (green) and Ebro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Ebro Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Ebro HT & FT | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.