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2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arminia Bielefeld host VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück.
Going into the match, Arminia Bielefeld had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. VfL Osnabrück had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 10 and 7 of VfL Osnabrück's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arminia Bielefeld averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home VfL Osnabrück averaged 2.64 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.80 goals from Arminia Bielefeld and 1.31 from VfL Osnabrück. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 15%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arminia Bielefeld (green) and VfL Osnabrück (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | WDDLD | 1.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| VfL Osnabrück | DLLWD | 1.70 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Arminia Bielefeld Win | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Bundesliga matches that day
- Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 4–0 - Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0