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U19 Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Paderborn U19 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arminia Bielefeld U19 host Paderborn U19 in the U19 Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arminia Bielefeld U19 3–1 Paderborn U19.
Going into the match, Arminia Bielefeld U19 had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 10. Paderborn U19 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Arminia Bielefeld U19's last 10 and 6 of Paderborn U19's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arminia Bielefeld U19 averaged 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Paderborn U19 averaged 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Arminia Bielefeld U19 and 1.19 from Paderborn U19. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 75%, 15% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arminia Bielefeld U19 (green) and Paderborn U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld U19 | WWWLL | 3.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 80% |
| Paderborn U19 | WLLLL | 2.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld U19 Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| Arminia Bielefeld U19 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 8.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.