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Central Youth League · Poland
Arkonia U19 vs Arka Gdynia U19 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arkonia U19 host Arka Gdynia U19 in the Central Youth League (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arkonia U19 1–0 Arka Gdynia U19.
Going into the match, Arkonia U19 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Arka Gdynia U19 had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Arkonia U19's last 10 and 7 of Arka Gdynia U19's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arkonia U19 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Arka Gdynia U19 averaged 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Arkonia U19 and 0.87 from Arka Gdynia U19. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 52%, 23% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arkonia U19 (green) and Arka Gdynia U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkonia U19 | WDLDL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Arka Gdynia U19 | LLLLL | 1.20 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Arkonia U19 Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Arkonia U19 HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.