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Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aris Thessalonikis host Volos NFC in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Aris Thessalonikis Win — Aris Thessalonikis to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aris Thessalonikis 3–2 Volos NFC.
Going into the match, Aris Thessalonikis had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Volos NFC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Aris Thessalonikis's last 10 and 8 of Volos NFC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aris Thessalonikis averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Volos NFC averaged 1.50 scored and 2.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.37 goals from Aris Thessalonikis and 1.04 from Volos NFC. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 25% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aris Thessalonikis (green) and Volos NFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | DWLDL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Volos NFC | LLLDD | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Volos NFC 1–2 Aris Thessalonikis
- 18 Apr 2026 · Aris Thessalonikis 3–2 Volos NFC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Aris Thessalonikis Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.