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Azadegan League · Iran
Ario Eslamshahr vs Be'sat Kermanshah prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ario Eslamshahr host Be'sat Kermanshah in the Azadegan League (Iran) on 12 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ario Eslamshahr 2–1 Be'sat Kermanshah.
Going into the match, Ario Eslamshahr had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Be'sat Kermanshah had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ario Eslamshahr's last 10 and 2 of Be'sat Kermanshah's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ario Eslamshahr averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Be'sat Kermanshah averaged 0.50 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Ario Eslamshahr and 0.67 from Be'sat Kermanshah. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 21%, against 50%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ario Eslamshahr (green) and Be'sat Kermanshah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ario Eslamshahr | LWWLW | 1.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 20% |
| Be'sat Kermanshah | WLWDL | 0.70 | 0.90 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Ario Eslamshahr 2–0 Be'sat Kermanshah
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.52 |
| Ario Eslamshahr Win | 50% | 1.81 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.06 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.