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Liga I · Romania
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arges Pitesti host CFR 1907 Cluj in the Liga I (Romania) on 12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj.
Going into the match, Arges Pitesti had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. CFR 1907 Cluj had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Arges Pitesti's last 10 and 6 of CFR 1907 Cluj's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arges Pitesti averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home CFR 1907 Cluj averaged 1.31 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Arges Pitesti and 0.90 from CFR 1907 Cluj. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 35%, 30% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arges Pitesti (green) and CFR 1907 Cluj (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | DWLDL | 0.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | LWLDW | 1.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 Arges Pitesti
- 17 Apr 2026 · Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Arges Pitesti Win | 35% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.