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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Argentinos JRS host Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Argentinos JRS 2–1 Tigre.
Going into the match, Argentinos JRS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Tigre had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Argentinos JRS's last 10 and 4 of Tigre's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Argentinos JRS averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tigre averaged 1.07 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Argentinos JRS and 0.74 from Tigre. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 53%, 30% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Argentinos JRS (green) and Tigre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS | LDDWD | 1.30 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Tigre | LLLDW | 0.70 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Argentinos JRS Win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.