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First League · Macedonia

Aresimi vs Tikveš prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 55%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Aresimi host Tikveš in the First League (Macedonia) on 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš.

Going into the match, Aresimi had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 20. Tikveš had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Aresimi's last 10 and 5 of Tikveš's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aresimi averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tikveš averaged 2.69 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Aresimi and 1.87 from Tikveš. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 21%, 23% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Aresimi (green) and Tikveš (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack25% – 75%
Defence27% – 73%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals30% – 70%
Overall strength25% – 75%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
AresimiDWLDL1.902.0030%50%
TikvešWWDDD2.900.7050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals71%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.44
Tikveš Win56%1.60
BTTS Yes55%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.70
Tikveš HT & FT37%2.50
1-210%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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