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First League · Macedonia
Aresimi vs Tikveš prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aresimi host Tikveš in the First League (Macedonia) on 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš.
Going into the match, Aresimi had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 20. Tikveš had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Aresimi's last 10 and 5 of Tikveš's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aresimi averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tikveš averaged 2.69 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Aresimi and 1.87 from Tikveš. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 21%, 23% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aresimi (green) and Tikveš (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Jul 2026 · Tikveš 5–1 Aresimi
- 3 May 2026 · Tikveš 1–1 Aresimi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Tikveš Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Tikveš HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.