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Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Spain
Arenas Armilla vs Malaga City prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arenas Armilla host Malaga City in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Arenas Armilla Win — Arenas Armilla to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Arenas Armilla 5–1 Malaga City.
Going into the match, Arenas Armilla had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Malaga City had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Arenas Armilla's last 10 and 3 of Malaga City's last 5; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arenas Armilla averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Malaga City averaged 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.05 goals from Arenas Armilla and 0.73 from Malaga City. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 5%. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arenas Armilla (green) and Malaga City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Armilla | WDDWW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
| Malaga City | LLLLL | 0.60 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.