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Liga 1 · Indonesia
Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arema FC host Bhayangkara FC in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 10 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arema FC 2–2 Bhayangkara FC.
Going into the match, Arema FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Bhayangkara FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Arema FC's last 10 and 8 of Bhayangkara FC's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arema FC averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bhayangkara FC averaged 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.34 goals from Arema FC and 2.01 from Bhayangkara FC. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 34%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arema FC (green) and Bhayangkara FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | DDWLL | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Bhayangkara FC | WDDWL | 2.20 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.