Home › League stats › Championship › Arbroath vs Morton
Championship · Scotland
Arbroath vs Morton prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arbroath host Morton in the Championship (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arbroath 1–2 Morton.
Going into the match, Arbroath had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Morton had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Arbroath's last 10 and 5 of Morton's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arbroath averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Morton averaged 0.50 scored and 2.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Arbroath and 0.74 from Morton. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arbroath (green) and Morton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Morton 1–2 Arbroath
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Arbroath Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.