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Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Araz vs Kapaz prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Araz host Kapaz in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Araz to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Araz 0–2 Kapaz.
Going into the match, Araz had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Kapaz had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Araz's last 10 and 3 of Kapaz's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Araz averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Kapaz averaged 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Araz and 1.11 from Kapaz. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 36%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Araz (green) and Kapaz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Araz 2–0 Kapaz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.