Ararat vs Shirak prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.25Market probability 72%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ararat host Shirak in the Premier League (Armenia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ararat 1–1 Shirak.

Going into the match, Ararat had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Shirak had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Ararat's last 10 and 2 of Shirak's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ararat averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Shirak averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Ararat and 1.37 from Shirak. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Ararat	DLWWL	0.80	1.90	30%	60%
Shirak	LLLWW	1.60	1.20	20%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

1 May 2026 · Shirak 0–2 Ararat

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.37
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	53%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00
Shirak Win	38%	2.35
0-1	11%	8.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.