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Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aragvi Dusheti host Telavi in the Erovnuli Liga 2 (Georgia) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aragvi Dusheti 1–4 Telavi.
Going into the match, Aragvi Dusheti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Telavi had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Aragvi Dusheti's last 10 and 5 of Telavi's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aragvi Dusheti averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Telavi averaged 1.08 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Aragvi Dusheti and 1.07 from Telavi. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | WLLLD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Telavi | DDDLL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jun 2026 · Telavi 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti
- 2 May 2026 · Aragvi Dusheti 2–1 Telavi
- 11 Apr 2026 · Telavi 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Telavi Win | 38% | 2.40 |
| 0-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.