Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.44Market probability 63%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Aragvi Dusheti host Gareji in the Erovnuli Liga 2 (Georgia) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Gareji to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Aragvi Dusheti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Gareji had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Aragvi Dusheti's last 10 and 6 of Gareji's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aragvi Dusheti averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Gareji averaged 1.15 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Aragvi Dusheti and 1.21 from Gareji. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Aragvi Dusheti (green) and Gareji (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence53% – 47%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals30% – 70%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Aragvi Dusheti	WLWLL	1.20	1.40	50%	40%
Gareji	WLLWL	1.30	1.80	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Aug 2026 · Gareji 0–2 Aragvi Dusheti
10 May 2026 · Aragvi Dusheti 0–1 Gareji