Home › League stats › Super League 2 › Apollon Pontou vs Pyrgos 1968
Super League 2 · Greece
Apollon Pontou vs Pyrgos 1968 prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Apollon Pontou host Pyrgos 1968 in the Super League 2 (Greece) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Apollon Pontou 1–0 Pyrgos 1968.
Going into the match, Apollon Pontou had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Pyrgos 1968 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Apollon Pontou's last 10 and 2 of Pyrgos 1968's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Apollon Pontou averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Pyrgos 1968 averaged 0.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Apollon Pontou and 0.50 from Pyrgos 1968. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 14%, against 52%, 28% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Apollon Pontou (green) and Pyrgos 1968 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Pontou | DWLLD | 0.90 | 1.00 | 30% | 20% |
| Pyrgos 1968 | WDLLD | 0.60 | 1.10 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.69 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.68 |
| Apollon Pontou Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Apollon Pontou HT & FT | 33% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.