Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 4–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Apollon Limassol host Nea Salamis in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Apollon Limassol 4–2 Nea Salamis.

Going into the match, Apollon Limassol had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Nea Salamis had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Apollon Limassol's last 10 and 7 of Nea Salamis's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Apollon Limassol averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nea Salamis averaged 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Apollon Limassol and 1.47 from Nea Salamis. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 25%, against 64%, 22% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Apollon Limassol (green) and Nea Salamis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form69% – 31%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence65% – 35%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Apollon Limassol	WLDDW	1.90	1.10	50%	80%
Nea Salamis	LWLWL	2.30	1.70	70%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	79%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Apollon Limassol Win	64%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.73
BTTS No	51%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.