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1. Division · Cyprus
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Apoel Nicosia host Nea Salamis in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Apoel Nicosia Win — Apoel Nicosia to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Apoel Nicosia 2–1 Nea Salamis.
Going into the match, Apoel Nicosia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Nea Salamis had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Apoel Nicosia's last 10 and 7 of Nea Salamis's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Apoel Nicosia averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Nea Salamis averaged 1.78 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Apoel Nicosia and 1.70 from Nea Salamis. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 34%, against 60%, 23% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Apoel Nicosia (green) and Nea Salamis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | DLWLW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
| Nea Salamis | WLWLL | 2.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Apoel Nicosia Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.