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Copa Chile · Chile
Antofagasta vs Universidad de Chile prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antofagasta host Universidad de Chile in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antofagasta 2–0 Universidad de Chile.
Going into the match, Antofagasta had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Universidad de Chile had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Antofagasta's last 10 and 6 of Universidad de Chile's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antofagasta averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Universidad de Chile averaged 1.71 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Antofagasta and 1.21 from Universidad de Chile. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 21%, 26% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antofagasta (green) and Universidad de Chile (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antofagasta | WWDLD | 1.70 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Universidad de Chile | WDWWL | 1.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Universidad de Chile Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.