Home › League stats › Liga Nacional › Antigua GFC vs Xelajú
Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antigua GFC host Xelajú in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 20 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antigua GFC 3–0 Xelajú.
Going into the match, Antigua GFC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Xelajú had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Antigua GFC's last 10 and 6 of Xelajú's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antigua GFC averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Xelajú averaged 1.43 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Antigua GFC and 1.42 from Xelajú. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 25%, against 53%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antigua GFC (green) and Xelajú (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | DWDLL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 80% | 70% |
| Xelajú | WLWLW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Sep 2026 · Xelajú 4–0 Antigua GFC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Antigua GFC Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Antigua GFC HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.