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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Antigua GFC vs Municipal prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antigua GFC host Municipal in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 9 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antigua GFC 1–1 Municipal.
Going into the match, Antigua GFC had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Municipal had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Antigua GFC's last 10 and 4 of Municipal's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antigua GFC averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Municipal averaged 1.36 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Antigua GFC and 1.24 from Municipal. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 40%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antigua GFC (green) and Municipal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | LLLWW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Municipal | WDWDW | 1.40 | 0.60 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Antigua GFC 1–0 Municipal
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Municipal Win | 37% | 2.35 |
| 0-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.