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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antigua GFC host Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 12 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Antigua GFC Win — Antigua GFC to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antigua GFC 2–1 Cobán Imperial.
Going into the match, Antigua GFC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Cobán Imperial had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Antigua GFC's last 10 and 6 of Cobán Imperial's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antigua GFC averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Cobán Imperial averaged 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Antigua GFC and 1.10 from Cobán Imperial. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 17%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antigua GFC (green) and Cobán Imperial (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | DLLLW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Cobán Imperial | WWDDD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Aug 2026 · Cobán Imperial 0–2 Antigua GFC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| Antigua GFC Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Antigua GFC HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.