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CONCACAF Nations League · International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antigua and Barbuda host Aruba in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antigua and Barbuda 3–2 Aruba.
Going into the match, Antigua and Barbuda had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 1. Aruba had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Antigua and Barbuda's last 3 and 1 of Aruba's last 4; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antigua and Barbuda averaged 5.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Aruba averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 44% for Antigua and Barbuda, 26% for the draw and 30% for Aruba once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antigua and Barbuda (green) and Aruba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua and Barbuda | WWL | 2.67 | 0.33 | 0% | 67% |
| Aruba | WWWL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 25% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Sep 2026 · Aruba 1–0 Antigua and Barbuda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Antigua and Barbuda Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.