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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Antequera vs Real Murcia prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antequera host Real Murcia in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Antequera Over 0.5 Goals — Antequera Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Antequera had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Real Murcia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Antequera's last 10 and 4 of Real Murcia's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antequera averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Real Murcia averaged 1.29 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Antequera and 0.98 from Real Murcia. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antequera | WDLDD | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 40% |
| Real Murcia | LDWLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Real Murcia 2–3 Antequera
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.