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1. Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antalyaspor host Kayserispor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor.
Going into the match, Antalyaspor had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Kayserispor had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Antalyaspor's last 10 and 4 of Kayserispor's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antalyaspor averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Kayserispor averaged 1.29 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Antalyaspor and 1.83 from Kayserispor. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 54%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antalyaspor (green) and Kayserispor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | WWWLW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Kayserispor | WWWWD | 1.90 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.