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1. Division · Cyprus
Anorthosis vs Pafos prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Anorthosis host Pafos in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Anorthosis 1–3 Pafos.
Going into the match, Anorthosis had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Pafos had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Anorthosis's last 10 and 3 of Pafos's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Anorthosis averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Pafos averaged 1.31 scored and 1.13 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Anorthosis and 1.75 from Pafos. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 59%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Anorthosis (green) and Pafos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis | LWLLL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Pafos | LWDWW | 1.50 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Pafos Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.